In the Crease: Quick moves up
NHL draft weekend is still fresh in our minds, and as we know, goaltenders selected do not generally make an instant impact on their new team, at least recently. Since the 2000 NHL Draft, only Rick DiPietro and Marc-Andre Fleury have taken the ice in the season following their selection, and each was the No. 1 overall pick. That trend will most likely continue in 2012-13.
No. 19 overall pick Andrei Vasilevski is headed to a Tampa Bay Lightning club that does have some questions in goal, but just acquired Anders Lindback and already has Dustin Tokarski in the system. Vasilevski has indicated he'll try to get out of the remaining time on his contract with Ufa of the Russian junior league in order to play in North America, but it'll be another year or more before he challenges for the starting gig. Meanwhile, with Tim Thomas' future up in the air, the Boston Bruins selected Malcolm Subban with the No. 24 pick. However, the plan is for Subban to return to his junior team for 2012-13, as the B's already have Tuukka Rask and Anton Khudobin in the mix.
Despite the fact that the draftees aren't going to be on the ice right away, that doesn't mean that there isn't anything new to chew on regarding NHL transactions and their impact within the fantasy realm. The aforementioned Lindback trade is just the start, and we learned a lot more about some goalies from the postseason (though regular readers of this column should not have been surprised by Jonathan Quick's run). I'll be back in a few weeks once the major free agent dominoes have fallen -- as well as a possible Roberto Luongo trade -- but here's a look at where we stand as of this week.
Playoff Heroes and Zeroes
Jonathan Quick, Los Angeles Kings (up one spot from April to No. 1): While Quick had struggled down the stretch in previous campaigns, he had his shaky month early on this season: in November, he posted a 4-5-2 mark with a 2.43 GAA and .924 save percentage, which frankly isn't all that bad. And you may've heard he had an OK time during the playoffs as well: He went 16-4, with a 1.41 GAA and .946 save percentage. It wasn't just Quick's statistical dominance, either, as opposing teams were frustrated by his fundamental soundness in positioning, rebound control and, well, quickness in the crease. Quick is only 26, and the Kings will return much of the Stanley Cup-winning roster this fall. He's an easy first-round pick for those who choose to solidify the position early on in their draft.
Martin Brodeur, New Jersey Devils (up four spots to No. 12): The Devils' aggressive forechecking got a lot of attention during their surprising (to some) playoff run, and that overshadowed the fact that Brodeur had an impressive postseason himself, getting the Devils to within two wins of their fourth championship. Perhaps more than any other playoff goalie, Brodeur's final playoff stats stick out for their improvement over the regular season (and especially considering he was pulled in Game 3 of Round 1). During 59 regular season starts, Brodeur was good for 2.41/.908 ratios, whereas he posted 2.12/.917 ratios during his 24 postseason appearances. This could be an offseason of significant change in New Jersey: Team captain Zach Parise is set to hit free agency on July 1, and Brodeur himself is also an impending free agent and may retire. If he does come back, he'll be a reasonably strong No. 2 goaltender option for fantasy purposes, Parise or no Parise.
Cory Schneider, Vancouver Canucks (up 26 spots to No. 7): I suppose it's a little weird to consider a man who didn't win even one playoff series a "playoff hero," but there's so much more to the situation in the Vancouver net. Longtime stalwart (and the man who helped guide the team to the Stanley Cup finals in 2011) Roberto Luongo was yanked in the opening round series against the Kings in favor of Schneider, and the consensus now is that he'll be traded once the Canucks get an offer that they like. Looking back to Schneider, he allowed four goals over three starts this postseason -- good for a 1.31 GAA -- and stopped 97 of 101 shots, which works out to a .960 save percentage. He's not going to post numbers like that in 2012-13. But given that he was good for 1.96/.937 ratios in the 2011-12 regular season and is taking over as the unquestioned No. 1 starter for one of the top contenders in the league, there's no reason why he won't be among the ranks of the No. 1 fantasy goalies next season as well.
Braden Holtby, Washington Capitals (up nine spots to No. 15): As with Quick, Holtby is no stranger to regular readers of this column, having shown brief flashes of his potential over the past two seasons (when he was given the opportunity to do so): In 21 appearances during the 2010-11 and 2011-12 seasons, he went 14-4-0 with a 2.02 GAA and .929 save percentage. So the 1.95/.935 ratios aren't huge shocks, though the fact that he had his coming out party on such a large stage speaks to his mental makeup just as much as his physical skills. Now that Tomas Vokoun is gone, it's just the talented but inconsistent Michal Neuvirth standing in between Holtby and the starting gig, a decision that will be made by the new coaching staff. The choice seems clear from this writer's perspective, though it must be noted that I'll greatly miss the Hershey Bears-inspired mask if he does choose to adopt something more D.C.-centric. The 22-year-old will be worthy of a No. 2 goalie job in fantasy with No. 1 upside.
Mike Smith, Phoenix Coyotes (up five spots to No. 3): Smith's meteoric rise from No. 63 on the ESPN Player Rater at the end of the 2010-11 season to No. 4 for 2011-12 foreshadowed an impressive playoff run that ended with his ratios at 1.99 and .944. The Coyotes were reportedly listening to offers for defenseman Keith Yandle over the past few weeks -- and some believe he's still available if the price is right -- and his loss would certainly be a negative for Smith, both for Yandle's defensive-zone work and his offensive production (he was the team's fourth-leading scorer this past season). While Yandle remains somewhat in limbo, the Coyotes were able to acquire fellow D-man Zbynek Michalek back from the Pittsburgh Penguins. Michalek will likely team up with Oliver Ekman-Larsson to form a top pair for the Coyotes capable of shutting down opponents' top scorers, and that certainly boosts Smith's value significantly. There is certainly some uncertainty regarding the franchise in general, but on the ice, their man in goal should be an elite option in fantasy again.
Top 40 Goalies Note: Tim Kavanagh's top 40 goalies are ranked for their expected performance in ESPN Standard Leagues. ESPN standard stats include wins, goals-against average and save percentage. Previous ranking (April) is indicated in parentheses. 1. Jonathan Quick, LA (2)
2. Henrik Lundqvist, NYR (1)
3. Mike Smith, Pho (8)
4. Jimmy Howard,...
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