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          • Peter Keating, ESPN Senior WriterApr 16, 2012, 02:32 PM ET
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              Peter Keating is a senior writer at ESPN The Magazine, where he covers investigative and statistical subjects. His column, The Numbers, appears in every issue.
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          ABOUT 15 MINUTES into the NFL draft, the Redskins will probably select Robert Griffin III at No. 2 overall. By the time Washington has another first-round pick, Joe Biden will be running for president and Rio de Janeiro will be gearing up for the Olympics. Most fans and analysts seem to think the Skins are being smart about their future -- that it's worth giving up not only their first- and second-rounders this year but also their top selection in 2013 and 2014, all to move up four spots to get a shot at a franchise QB.

          This is craziness. More than any other reckless move Dan Snyder has made the past few years, this trade is a sign that Washington's owner still hasn't learned about true football value. In fact, the Skins have botched the two most important rules of draft-day dealing: Trade down this year, or into next year's draft, and you win; trade up this season, or into this year's draft, and you lose. It's really that simple.