Champ Week has been brutal for non-Power 5 teams that were hoping to be in play for at-large bids. Teams such as Cleveland State, Columbia and Saint Joseph's, once hopeful of an invite if they didn't win their conference tournaments, now likely have no such expectations.
Portland's upset of Gonzaga in the WCC tournament title game Tuesday means the conference will be a two-bid league as the Bulldogs take a bubble spot. Add impressive play from bubble teams in the Big Ten during their tournament and the bubble is a lot smaller than it looked a week ago.
To examine the bubble for the 2024 women's NCAA tournament, we'll use ESPN Analytics' Women's College Basketball Power Index (BPI), which represents how many points above or below average a team is.
Along with the team ratings, BPI generates Strength of Record (SOR), a measure of how impressive each team's record is given their schedule. We'll also utilize the Strength of Schedule (SOS) the selection committee uses.
Here is our current projection of the bubble through Tuesday's games and the conclusion of every Power 5 conference tournament: