NCAAF teams
Brad Edwards, College Football 10y

Top 10 teams by playoff odds

Insider College Football, Florida State Seminoles, Auburn Tigers

Each week throughout the season, the Playoff Forecast will use ESPN's Football Power Index and human logic (i.e., the eye test) to determine which teams are best positioned in the chase for the inaugural College Football Playoff. These rankings take into account perceived team strength (including injuries) and remaining schedule difficulty (including prospective conference championship games).

The Playoff Forecast is not intended to be a prediction of the selection committee's weekly Top 25, which will be released every Tuesday starting Oct. 28. It is a projection of which teams have the best chance to be in the top four come December.


1. Florida State Seminoles

FPI's chance of winning out: 15.4 percent
FPI's chance of winning the conference: 61.3 percent

Through two games, the Noles haven't looked nearly as good as they did last year, but they have still looked good enough to handle the teams on their schedule. Without playing a game last weekend, FSU saw its odds of going unbeaten increase, thanks to future opponents Louisville, Notre Dame and Florida all looking weaker on Saturday. It's possible that the Seminoles' toughest remaining test could be at home against Clemson in a few days. That game may tell us whether this FSU team is capable of dominating the way the 2013 version did.

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