Fantasy Daily notes for July 27
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NOTES | PITCHERS | HITTERS
Starting pitcher rankings for Jul 27
GSPitcherOPPERA /
WHIP
57L. Lynn,
RHP, StL
Cin2.80 /
1.23
56C. Heston,
RHP, SF
Mil3.18 /
1.15
55N. Karns,
RHP, TB
Det3.47 /
1.25
54A. Sanchez,
RHP, Det
@TB4.59 /
1.23
54K. Hendricks,
RHP, ChC
Col3.66 /
1.13
50M. Montgomery,
LHP, Sea
Ari3.25 /
1.19
48K. Gausman,
RHP, Bal
Atl5.18 /
1.30
48A. Wood,
LHP, Atl
@Bal3.78 /
1.46
48E. Volquez,
RHP, KC
@Cle3.15 /
1.25
48R. Iglesias,
RHP, Cin
@StL5.45 /
1.56
47K. Lohse,
RHP, Mil
@SF6.29 /
1.45
47C. Anderson,
RHP, Cle
KC1.91 /
0.91
46J. De La Rosa,
LHP, Col
@ChC4.62 /
1.41
46I. Nova,
RHP, NYY
@Tex3.34 /
1.28
44J. Kelly,
RHP, Bos
CWS5.74 /
1.49
43R. Ray,
LHP, Ari
@Sea2.72 /
1.12
41M. Harrison,
LHP, Tex
NYY5.40 /
1.70
40J. Danks,
LHP, CWS
@Bos4.66 /
1.42
GS: The pitcher's projected "Game Score," from Bill James' original formula, which accounts for past history (three years' worth as well as past 21 days), opponent and ballpark. A Game Score of 50 typically is typically regarded a quality start; anything over 70 is exceptional, anything under 30 poor. An asterisk notes that the game score has been adjusted by the analyst. Opp: The pitcher's opponent for the day. ERA: Pitcher's earned run average. WHIP: Pitcher's average number of walks plus hits surrendered per inning.

Elite

His game score falls short of the usual filter to be deemed elite but with no other candidate even close, an executive decision was made and we'll feature Lance Lynn. That said, this is more than a token appearance as Lynn is having an elite season, sporting an impressive 9.8 K/9 in tandem with a tidy 2.8 BB/9. The matchup is favorable in that the St. Louis Cardinals host the Cincinnati Reds in pitcher-friendly Busch Stadium, but it won't be easy as the visitors sport an above-average weighted on-base average on the road along with toting a below-average strikeout rate against right-handers. This limits Lynn's upside, which makes him the night's top cash game option.

Solid

Leading off the solid tier is rookie Chris Heston and the San Francsico Giants hosting the Milwaukee Brewers in AT&T Park. Heston's calling card is good control and a plethora of groundballs. His 7.2 K/9 is high enough to keep hitters honest but limits his fantasy upside, in terms of seasonal leagues as well as DFS. The Brewers are league average versus right-handers, though Heston's ability to limit homers gives him the edge over a lineup that relies a lot on the long ball. Still, the tempered punch-out total limits his tournament potential.

Nate Karns isn't the quality of pitcher as either Lynn or Heston but he has some intriguing strikeout upside at what's likely a lower price. Better yet, many will be scared off with the daunting Detroit Tigers visiting St. Petersburg. However, some of their firepower is mitigated by the run-squashing tendency of Tropicana Field. The Tigers whiff at a slightly above-average clip while Karns sports an 8.5 K/9, rendering him a tournament option.

The other starter covertly profiling as a tournament option is Kyle Hendricks as the Chicago Cubs welcome the Colorado Rockies into Wrigley Field. There's some research that shows all teams, not just the Rockies, struggle in their first game or two after a series in Coors Field. The data backs that for the Rox as they whiff at a 22 percent clip on the road versus right-handers. With this being the initial game after a long home stand, that number could be exceeded. With a 7.6 K/9, Hendricks is far from dominant but he misses ample bats to take advantage of the Rockies' high altitude.

Streamers

Hot Spots

Hendricks isn't the only one in a good spot in Wrigley Field. Jorge De La Rosa has been much better on the road, which isn't surprising considering his home field. The oddity is his strikeout rate is better at Coors Field than away from it, but with the strikeout-prone Chicago Cubs stepping into the box, De La Rosa has some high strikeout potential. To wit, the hosts whiff at a 25 percent rate against southpaws at home. Not only is De La Rosa a viable streaming option in seasonal formats, he's a tournament candidate for DFS grinders.

While the numbers suggest Robbie Ray has been better on the road than at home this season, the sample is too small to be actionable. What does matter is Ray will be taking the hill in Safeco Field to face an offense that's pedestrian at home versus left-handers. As such, he's safe to deploy; your ratios aren't likely to take an early week hit.

Cold Streams

With the disclaimer that I tend to be more aggressive than most, even early in a head-to-head week, while none of the other contests feature an arm I'd safely stream, the only hurler I'm avoiding altogether is Matt Harrison taking on the New York Yankees in Arlington. I wouldn't waste any assets to acquire one of the other scheduled starters in the streaming tier but I wouldn't hesitate to use one if they were already on my roster.

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