Fantasy Daily notes for Sept. 1
< AUG 31 | SEP 1 | SEP 2 >
NOTES | PITCHERS | HITTERS
Starting pitcher rankings for Sep 1
GSPitcherOPPERA /
WHIP
76C. Sale,
LHP, CWS
@Min3.20 /
1.02
74M. Bumgarner,
LHP, SF
@LAD2.97 /
1.02
70Z. Greinke,
RHP, LAD
SF1.61 /
0.85
65J. Cueto,
RHP, KC
Det2.94 /
1.00
63G. Cole,
RHP, Pit
@Mil2.44 /
1.11
58M. Pineda,
RHP, NYY
@Bos4.19 /
1.23
56C. Martinez,
RHP, StL
Wsh2.91 /
1.27
55M. Shoemaker,
RHP, LAA
@Oak4.48 /
1.24
55J. Verlander,
RHP, Det
@KC3.45 /
1.07
55M. Estrada,
RHP, Tor
Cle3.19 /
1.09
54A. Cashner,
RHP, SD
Tex3.93 /
1.36
52J. Niese,
LHP, NYM
Phi3.95 /
1.36
52J. Ross,
RHP, Wsh
@StL3.24 /
1.01
51D. Smyly,
LHP, TB
@Bal3.82 /
1.24
49J. Nelson,
RHP, Mil
Pit3.81 /
1.27
49C. Bassitt,
RHP, Oak
LAA2.82 /
1.12
48E. Jackson,
RHP, Atl
Mia3.57 /
1.26
48R. Elias,
LHP, Sea
@Hou4.20 /
1.25
47T. Duffey,
RHP, Min
CWS4.29 /
1.62
47J. Nicolino,
LHP, Mia
@Atl3.65 /
1.27
47Y. Gallardo,
RHP, Tex
@SD3.14 /
1.34
46R. Porcello,
RHP, Bos
NYY5.47 /
1.40
46C. Tillman,
RHP, Bal
TB4.58 /
1.33
46D. Haren,
RHP, ChC
Cin3.90 /
1.15
45A. DeSclafani,
RHP, Cin
@ChC3.84 /
1.36
45P. Corbin,
LHP, Ari
@Col3.78 /
1.26
44R. De La Rosa,
RHP, Ari
@Col4.46 /
1.31
44S. Feldman,
RHP, Hou
Sea3.75 /
1.27
44A. Harang,
RHP, Phi
@NYM4.79 /
1.38
44C. Anderson,
RHP, Cle
@Tor4.30 /
1.11
42Y. Flande,
LHP, Col
Ari4.09 /
1.30
37K. Kendrick,
RHP, Col
Ari6.43 /
1.54
GS: The pitcher's projected "Game Score," from Bill James' original formula, which accounts for past history (three years' worth as well as past 21 days), opponent and ballpark. A Game Score of 50 typically is typically regarded a quality start; anything over 70 is exceptional, anything under 30 poor. An asterisk notes that the game score has been adjusted by the analyst. Opp: The pitcher's opponent for the day. ERA: Pitcher's earned run average. WHIP: Pitcher's average number of walks plus hits surrendered per inning.

Elite

The top of the slate is loaded with five aces but only one is in a positive spot with respect to quality of opponent and strikeout upside. Perhaps surprisingly, the Detroit Tigers' offense away from Comerica Park is below average, which puts in the top spot as the Kansas City Royals welcome their American Central brethren into Kaufmann Stadium. Since the All-Star break, the Tigers have fanned at an elevated 24 percent clip when on the road versus right-handers while sporting a weak .289 weighted on-base average. Johnny Cueto has been roughed up his last two outings, which may serve to keep his price down. Regardless, he's the top cash play on the day and is tournament worthy as well, giving him the chance for a couple extra punch-outs.

The remaining four aces are all opposed by teams hitting well against pitchers of their handedness since the break. Two of them square off, which further tempers their potential return on investment. Of the pair, Zack Greinke is in a slightly better spot compared to Madison Bumgarner since the divisional battle between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants will be in Southern California, giving Greinke the home edge. Since the break in Dodger Stadium, the home team is crushing southpaws to the tune of a .370 wOBA while the Giants check in with a .321 mark on the road versus righties in that span. Despite the recent production of both offenses, this is likely to be a low-scoring game. Greinke profiles better as a cash-game option with Bumgarner being the GPP play based on the slightly greater strikeout potential.

The wild card of the bunch is Chris Sale. The lanky lefty is on one of his patented strikeout roles, fanning 36 over his last three starts, tossing seven frames in each. The catch is that Sale is tasked with taming a Minnesota Twins offense that is croaking southpaws to the tune of a .402 home wOBA since the break. Their 17 percent strikeout rate over the pseudo second half adds to Sale's challenge. Sale is always a tournament candidate but on this day, it's best to fade him in cash play.

Gerrit Cole is the fifth musketeer, leading the Pittsburgh Pirates into Miller Park for a date with the Milwaukee Brewers. The home team has raked against righties at home all season, but since the break their wOBA in this scenario is .348. If you're spending on an arm, it's best to focus on one of the first four options.

Solid

Carlos Martinez takes the hill in Busch Stadium as the St. Louis Cardinals challenge the Washington Nationals. On the road since the break, the Nationals have fanned at a generous 24 percent pace when facing right-handers. Perhaps it's the innings adding up but after a stretch where Martinez threw at least 6 1/3 frames in 11 of 12 starts, he has only done it twice over his last six. Still, in a pitcher-friendly park with significant strikeout upside, Martinez profiles well for tournament action.

Marco Estrada is quietly having a nice season, pitching effectively at home despite the fact Rogers Centre is one of the better hitter's parks in the league. Next up for the right-hander is a date with the visiting Cleveland Indians. While the Tribe's road strikeout rate isn't excessive, it's a little above average. Factor in the win potential with his mates taking aim against the pedestrian Cody Anderson, and Estrada is in a favorable spot for DFS deployment.

Streamers

Hot Spots

Last time out Jimmy Nelson had control issues, walking eight in just 3 1/3 frames. This apparently scared off some of his owners as his ownership fell 11 percent to 46 percent in ESPN leagues. Perhaps fatigue is setting in but more than likely it was just one of those days. Earning the win will be a tall order with Gerrit Cole doing the honors for the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates, but as alluded to earlier, the Brew Crew's sticks have been productive lately. Not only is Nelson worthy of a start in seasonal leagues, but the Bucs fan at a 22 percent rate on the road against righties so he's a GPP play too.

After a string of quality efforts since entering the rotation in late June, Chris Bassitt was knocked around by the Seattle Mariners last time out. He's in a good spot to bounce back with the Los Angeles Angels visiting O. Co. Coliseum. The Halos have been below average all season when traveling to face a right-hander.

Cold Streams

There's a slew of tweeners that can be safely used in context. However, the four hurlers scheduled to work in the Arizona Diamondbacks versus Colorado Rockies twin bill in Coors Field are best left on the bench. The other risky options to avoid are Aaron Harang facing the New York Mets in Citi Field and Cody Anderson taking on the Toronto Blue Jays in the Rogers Centre.

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