Fantasy daily notes for September 23
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NOTES | PITCHERS | HITTERS
Starting pitcher rankings for Sep 23
GSPitcherOPPERA /
WHIP
73F. Hernandez,
RHP, Sea
@Tor2.07 /
0.91
72D. Price,
LHP, Det
CWS3.37 /
1.09
70J. Cueto,
RHP, Cin
Mil2.33 /
0.98
67C. Hamels,
LHP, Phi
@Mia2.47 /
1.18
66M. Bumgarner,
LHP, SF
@LAD2.91 /
1.10
64A. Wood,
LHP, Atl
Pit2.78 /
1.13
62Z. Greinke,
RHP, LAD
SF2.76 /
1.17
60S. Gray,
RHP, Oak
LAA3.28 /
1.23
60M. Fiers,
RHP, Mil
@Cin1.78 /
0.84
60A. Cobb,
RHP, TB
@Bos2.82 /
1.12
59T. Roark,
RHP, Wsh
NYM2.85 /
1.10
57D. Salazar,
RHP, Cle
KC4.02 /
1.34
55G. Cole,
RHP, Pit
@Atl3.85 /
1.27
55R. Dickey,
RHP, Tor
Sea3.82 /
1.25
52C. Buchholz,
RHP, Bos
TB5.29 /
1.41
51Y. Ventura,
RHP, KC
@Cle3.19 /
1.28
51K. Hendricks,
RHP, ChC
StL2.28 /
1.08
50B. McCarthy,
RHP, NYY
Bal3.93 /
1.25
50B. Colon,
RHP, NYM
@Wsh4.02 /
1.21
49R. Erlin,
LHP, SD
Col4.53 /
1.29
49U. Jimenez,
RHP, Bal
@NYY4.90 /
1.54
49W. LeBlanc,
LHP, LAA
@Oak5.24 /
1.25
48S. Miller,
RHP, StL
@ChC3.68 /
1.27
40S. Carroll,
RHP, CWS
@Det5.01 /
1.51
47B. Oberholtzer,
LHP, Hou
@Tex4.39 /
1.34
45A. Chafin,
LHP, Ari
@Min1.64 /
1.09
45H. Alvarez,
RHP, Mia
Phi2.82 /
1.24
42J. De La Rosa,
LHP, Col
@SD4.14 /
1.22
37N. Martinez,
RHP, Tex
Hou4.85 /
1.53
37K. Gibson,
RHP, Min
Ari4.64 /
1.34
GS: The pitcher's projected "Game Score," from Bill James' original formula, which accounts for past history (three years' worth as well as past 21 days), opponent and ballpark. A Game Score of 50 typically is typically regarded a quality start; anything over 70 is exceptional, anything under 30 poor. An asterisk notes that the game score has been adjusted by the analyst. Opp: The pitcher's opponent for the day. ERA: Pitcher's earned run average. WHIP: Pitcher's average number of walks plus hits surrendered per inning.

The elite (ranked for use in daily cash games such as 50/50s and double ups)

The final Tuesday of the regular season is stacked with stud arms. The trick for deciding the better options is not solely considering the pitcher's skills in concert with the opposition's ability but also weaving in the importance of the game and likelihood the starter isn't lifted earlier than normal. The most heated battles are in the Central division of both leagues, hence those pitchers should be favored.

With that in mind, David Price is the ace with the best ancillary factors. He's at home, facing a Chicago White Sox squad that when on the road against southpaws sports a subpar .301 weighted on-base average (wOBA) with an above-average 22 percent strikeout rate. The Detroit Tigers are embroiled in a first-place tussle with the Kansas City Royals that is likely to go down to the wire. Avoiding the wild-card game is strongly preferred; thus, Price should remain in the game so long as he's effective.

While there's nothing riding on the Philadelphia Phillies' tilt with the Miami Marlins, there's no reason to limit Cole Hamels' innings. Since the All-Star break, the Fish have fanned at a 22 percent clip at home versus left-handers. Though considering September roster expansion along with the loss of Giancarlo Stanton, Tuesday's Marlins lineup won't match that which contributed the majority of those punchouts. Still, in such a pitcher's park facing a weakened lineup, Hamels should be able to rack up the desired innings plus strikeouts.

The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers in another game with no playoff implications. And while Clayton Kershaw's name is already engraved on the National League Cy Young trophy, Johnny Cueto would like to put an exclamation point on a career year. The Brewers are decidedly right-handed, sporting a meek .260 wOBA since the All-Star break when on the road facing righties.

Speaking of the Cy Young award, the American League front-runner, Felix Hernandez, visits Rogers Centre for a date with the Toronto Blue Jays. The Seattle Mariners still have wild-card aspirations so that's not the reason Hernandez is a bit lower than normal. It's that the Toronto Blue Jays are capable of hitting multiple long balls, making this a risk due to opponent.

Sonny Gray will be listed with a caveat. The Oakland Athletics are still in the thick of the wild-card battle while the Los Angeles Angels are in cruise control, waiting for the playoffs to commence. If the Halos rest some key regulars, Gray jumps up above Hernandez, maybe higher. But beware: Gray has not been pitching all that far into games lately, so unless he's in complete control, the Oakland bullpen could be involved as well.

With the injury-depleted lineup of the San Francisco Giants in town, Zack Greinke isn't a bad choice, though his win potential is lowered with Madison Bumgarner on the other side. This is enough to drop him below the others. Bumgarner is a risk since the Los Angeles Dodgers haven't yet clinched and until they do, will run their best lineup out there.

The final spot is a tie between Alex Wood and Gerrit Cole. These exciting young arms are squaring off in what will likely be a low-scoring affair. Win probability for both is dampened by the presence of the other. Wins aren't paramount in daily cash games but, in this instance, they're relevant due to the plethora of viable candidates.

Solid (can be considered for both daily cash games and tournament play)

Tanner Roark defines solid. The Washington Nationals have the division title in the bag so there's chance his innings are tempered, though the more likely scenario is status quo tonight and an early exit on the season's final day. At home against the New York Mets, Roark should do what he always does: work six or seven solid frames, keeping his team in the game. This should be enough to be useful on daily sites necessitating two pitchers.

Alex Cobb has been one of the better pitchers over the second half. On Tuesday he's in Fenway Park against a Boston Red Sox squad playing out the string, though with some hungry youngsters eager to leave a positive impression for next season. Like Roark, Cobb is best used on daily sites.

Value plays (best used in tournaments or on multiple-pitcher sites)

Danny Salazar can have his mail forwarded to the value-play section since in many contests his salary still reflects some early-season woes. On Tuesday he takes the hill in Progressive Field against the pesky Kansas City Royals. When on, Salazar can whiff anyone, but he'll need to be on as the Royals are one of the toughest teams to punch out in the league.

Robbie Erlin is shaking the rust off after recovering from Tommy John surgery. As such, he's not likely to throw any more than 100 pitches, but that should be sufficient to inflict some damage upon the visiting Colorado Rockies. On the road, the Rockies are opposite than the Royals; they're one of the easiest teams to fan.

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