Fantasy daily notes for July 22
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NOTES | PITCHERS | HITTERS
Starting pitcher rankings for Jul 22
GSPitcherOPPERA /
WHIP
68A. Wainwright,
RHP, StL
TB1.83 /
0.91
57H. Bailey,
RHP, Cin
@Mil4.21 /
1.33
57S. Kazmir,
LHP, Oak
Hou2.38 /
0.98
57M. Minor,
LHP, Atl
Mia4.86 /
1.49
57J. DeGrom,
RHP, NYM
@Sea3.18 /
1.33
54H. Santiago,
LHP, LAA
Bal4.32 /
1.31
53J. Zimmermann,
RHP, Wsh
@Col3.03 /
1.21
52J. Peavy,
RHP, Bos
@Tor4.59 /
1.41
52K. Hendricks,
RHP, ChC
SD6.00 /
1.33
51Y. Petit,
RHP, SF
@Phi3.86 /
1.16
51S. Carroll,
RHP, CWS
KC4.19 /
1.46
49J. Beckett,
RHP, LAD
@Pit2.26 /
1.03
49J. Odorizzi,
RHP, TB
@StL4.01 /
1.34
48J. Nelson,
RHP, Mil
Cin5.40 /
1.80
48D. Salazar,
RHP, Cle
@Min5.53 /
1.62
48B. Oberholtzer,
LHP, Hou
@Oak4.50 /
1.44
47B. Chen,
LHP, KC
@CWS6.46 /
1.66
46C. Anderson,
RHP, Ari
Det3.64 /
1.40
46J. Happ,
LHP, Tor
Bos4.91 /
1.55
46M. Gonzalez,
RHP, Bal
@LAA4.04 /
1.45
46R. Porcello,
RHP, Det
@Ari3.39 /
1.18
46Y. Pino,
RHP, Min
Cle4.39 /
1.35
45E. Ramirez,
RHP, Sea
NYM4.58 /
1.59
43J. Turner,
RHP, Mia
@Atl6.22 /
1.62
43E. Stults,
LHP, SD
@ChC4.98 /
1.44
43R. Hernandez,
RHP, Phi
SF4.22 /
1.45
40Y. Flande,
LHP, Col
Wsh7.36 /
1.71
40C. Whitley,
RHP, NYY
Tex5.10 /
1.48
38N. Martinez,
RHP, Tex
@NYY5.10 /
1.69
37V. Worley,
RHP, Pit
LAD3.38 /
1.13
GS: The pitcher's projected "Game Score," from Bill James' original formula, which accounts for past history (three years' worth as well as past 21 days), opponent and ballpark. A Game Score of 50 typically is typically regarded a quality start; anything over 70 is exceptional, anything under 30 poor. An asterisk notes that the game score has been adjusted by the analyst. Opp: The pitcher's opponent for the day. ERA: Pitcher's earned run average. WHIP: Pitcher's average number of walks plus hits surrendered per inning.

The Elite (ranked for use in daily cash games such as 50/50s and double ups)

Adam Wainwright is clearly the top dog among Tuesday starters, as he'll entertain the Tampa Bay Rays. The St. Louis Cardinals ace has been particularly impressive since June 1, going 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and .205 opponents' BA with zero homers allowed in those 52 2/3 innings. This includes seven shutout innings he tossed against the Rays back on June 10. I am a little concerned about Wainwright's anemic 4.2 K/9 rate so far in July, and that may not improve much against a Tampa team that is the third-toughest to strike out in the majors (18.0 percent K rate). But Wainwright has allowed one run or less in four of seven home starts this year, and has an excellent opportunity to get the win going up against Jake Odorizzi and his 6.10 road ERA this season.

The best American League option for Tuesday is Scott Kazmir facing the Houston Astros. The Oakland Athletics left-hander has been nearly unhittable during a five-start home win streak, with a 1.00 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, .163 opponents' BA and 6.0 K-to-BB ratio (30 K's, 5 walks) in 36 innings. His pitching line is also outstanding over his past three starts versus the Astros: 21 IP, 15 H, 3 ER, 3 BBs and 22 K's. Although Houston All-Star 2B Jose Altuve is 6-for-13 lifetime against Kazmir, his current teammates are a combined 10-for-54 (.185), with 17 strikeouts in this head-to-head matchup. Considering the 'Stros carry a majors-worst K rate of 23.8 percent this year, I expect at least seven K's on Tuesday for a victorious Kazmir.

Solid (can be used in both daily cash games and tournament play)

Homer Bailey has the second-highest Game Score rating among Tuesday starters, when he'll go on the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers. Not only has the right-hander flourished in his past three starts (1.64 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, .250 opponents' SLG), but Bailey has pitched quite well in this divisional matchup recently. He's 3-1 with a 3.12 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 7.1 K/9 in his past six starts versus the Brew Crew. Bailey is also getting Milwaukee during a 3-13 stretch, where the team has a collective slash line of .230/.287/.356. Although the Brewers hit splitters pretty well, Bailey's splitter has been ridiculous this season, with opponents batting .096 with a .127 OBP and .173 SLG in 55 plate appearances that he's ended the at-bat with this pitch.

Mike Minor has pitched poorly lately, producing a 6.56 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his past four starts, but a home game versus the Miami Marlins on Tuesday should get him back on track. The left-hander has 27 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings (10.7 K/9) in his past four home games, and is facing a Marlins team with the second-worst strikeout rate in the majors, at 23.1 percent. The Fish have also been dreadful at the plate during a current 2-7 stretch, where they have plated only 19 runs with a slash line of .220/.268/.337. If Minor can pitch around slugger Giancarlo Stanton, who has a 1.376 OPS and four homers against him in 27 plate appearances, he should have a fine outing against the remainder of Miami's roster, which is 20-for-90 with 26 K's versus the southpaw.

Value Plays (best used in tournaments or on multiple-pitcher sites)

Jacob deGrom (33 percent ESPN.com ownership) has pitched extremely well in his past five starts, going 3-1 with a 1.65 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. I have no idea why the 26-year-old is available in two-thirds of the ESPN.com universe, but I'm sure that ownership number will rise significantly after he faces the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field on Tuesday. The M's have scored a total of 18 runs in their past nine home games, due largely to a woeful .279 on-base percentage during this stretch. deGrom's win chances are rather high as well going up against Erasmo Ramirez, who is winless in his past 10 starts, where he's 0-4 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.

Jake Peavy (44 percent ESPN.com ownership) is starting to find a groove as title contenders vie for his services for the remainder of the season. The right-hander has a 2.84 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 over his past three starts, and his potentially final outing with the Boston Red Sox will come Tuesday on the road against a Toronto Blue Jays team he has owned recently. Peavy has tossed six straight quality starts versus the Jays, where he's 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, .188 opponents' BA and 7.7 K/9. He should also get a rare dose of run support when his Sox face J.A. Happ, who has a 5.33 ERA, 1.70 WHIP and .862 opponents' OPS versus Boston in his career.

A wild card pitcher I like on Tuesday is Danny Salazar (25 percent ESPN.com ownership) who will get the call-up from Triple-A to face the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. This should be a strikeout-heavy matchup for the 24-year-old, who has 16 K's in 16 career innings versus a Minnesota team that has the seventh-highest strikeout rate in the league this year at 21.6 percent. Santana has been prone to serving up the long ball in his career, with 15 HR allowed in 92 2/3 MLB innings, but the Twins have left the yard only five times in their past 10 games combined, and three of those taters came at Coors Field.

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