Fantasy daily notes for July 30
< JUL 29 | JUL 30 | JUL 31 >
NOTES | PITCHERS | HITTERS
Starting pitcher rankings for Jul 30
GSPitcherOPPERA /
WHIP
74F. Hernandez,
RHP, Sea
@Cle1.99 /
0.89
74D. Price,
LHP, TB
Mil3.08 /
1.04
73M. Scherzer,
RHP, Det
CWS3.37 /
1.19
62J. Lester,
LHP, Bos
Tor2.52 /
1.12
62Z. Greinke,
RHP, LAD
Atl2.74 /
1.18
59T. Roark,
RHP, Wsh
@Mia2.82 /
1.10
58C. Kluber,
RHP, Cle
Sea2.77 /
1.13
58G. Richards,
RHP, LAA
@Bal2.62 /
1.05
57A. Wood,
LHP, Atl
@LAD3.44 /
1.23
56A. Simon,
RHP, Cin
Ari2.86 /
1.10
55J. Hahn,
RHP, SD
StL2.12 /
1.05
55T. Lincecum,
RHP, SF
Pit3.96 /
1.26
53Z. Wheeler,
RHP, NYM
Phi3.64 /
1.33
52D. Duffy,
LHP, KC
Min2.47 /
1.08
51D. Keuchel,
LHP, Hou
Oak3.11 /
1.26
51Y. Gallardo,
RHP, Mil
@TB3.57 /
1.22
50W. Miley,
LHP, Ari
@Cin4.34 /
1.27
50T. Wood,
LHP, ChC
Col5.06 /
1.53
50H. Kuroda,
RHP, NYY
@Tex3.99 /
1.21
49C. Morton,
RHP, Pit
@SF3.40 /
1.18
49K. Gausman,
RHP, Bal
LAA3.67 /
1.41
48B. Anderson,
LHP, Col
@ChC3.24 /
1.35
47H. Noesi,
RHP, CWS
@Det4.99 /
1.44
47B. Hand,
LHP, Mia
Wsh4.19 /
1.51
46J. Kelly,
RHP, StL
@SD3.90 /
1.43
46M. Buehrle,
LHP, Tor
@Bos3.19 /
1.35
46J. Hammel,
RHP, Oak
@Hou3.41 /
1.13
45P. Hughes,
RHP, Min
@KC4.10 /
1.24
43K. Kendrick,
RHP, Phi
@NYM4.87 /
1.35
39C. Lewis,
RHP, Tex
NYY6.23 /
1.79
GS: The pitcher's projected "Game Score," from Bill James' original formula, which accounts for past history (three years' worth as well as past 21 days), opponent and ballpark. A Game Score of 50 typically is typically regarded a quality start; anything over 70 is exceptional, anything under 30 poor. An asterisk notes that the game score has been adjusted by the analyst. Opp: The pitcher's opponent for the day. ERA: Pitcher's earned run average. WHIP: Pitcher's average number of walks plus hits surrendered per inning.

The Elite (ranked for use in daily cash games such as 50/50s and double ups)

Three pitchers stand out above the rest among Wednesday's meaty crop of pitching talent. Felix Hernandez, David Price and Max Scherzer all received Projected Game Score ratings in the 70s, and arguments can be made for any of the three as your top pick in a daily league. Hernandez is certainly the most consistent hurler in this trio, throwing 13 straight quality starts where he hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of the outings. During this ride, the right-hander is 7-1 with a 1.36 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, .170 opponent BA and 113 K's in 99 innings (10.3 K/9). On Wednesday, he'll take the hill on the road to face a Cleveland Indians team that he dominated on June 29, holding them to one hit over eight shutout frames where he picked up nine K's. In 15 career starts versus the Indians, Hernandez has a 2.98 ERA and 9.6 K/9, but his WHIP is a tad inflated (1.29). Current Cleveland batters have a strong .281/.338/.461 slash line off the superstar hurler, but I still like Hernandez as the best pick of the day.

Like Hernandez, Price also has a long streak of consecutive quality starts, cranking out 11 QS in a row. During this ride, the left-hander is 7-3 with a 1.88 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 10.3 K/9. He has also won six straight starts and is facing a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that is 2-7 with a .192/.246/.300 slash in its first nine road games of July. Price also benefits from the fact that the Brewers are horrible versus left-handed pitching, producing a .241 BA (third-worst mark in majors) and 22.7 percent K rate (sixth-worst mark in majors) this season. Price also mowed down the Brew Crew the only time he faced them in his career, allowing only two runs over eight frames with 10 strikeouts, but that outing occurred back in 2011. Picking Price ahead of Hernandez for Wednesday is certainly justified.

Scherzer has the most favorable matchup of the trio going up against a Chicago White Sox team he has made look silly this season. In three starts versus the division foe, the right-hander is 3-0 with an 0.86 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 and an opponent slash line of .182/.247/.312. For his career against Chicago, Scherzer is 11-5 with a 2.40 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 9.4 K/9, with current Sox hitters slashing a meager line of .218/.283/.375 in 316 plate appearances. Scherzer is also on a roll with a six-start unbeaten streak during which he is 4-0 with a 2.21 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and a hefty 11.1 K/9. Expect the strikeouts to continue against a White Sox lineup that has a 22.4 percent K rate, which is the fifth-worst mark in the majors this season.

Solid (can be used in both daily cash games and tournament play)

Two other pitchers on Wednesday's schedule earned a rating in excess of 60: Jon Lester and Zack Greinke. Like the three pitchers above, Lester has been on fire with eight straight quality starts. He's unbeaten during this string too, going 4-0 with a 1.07 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. If not for the Blue Jays being so potent at the plate in their past seven games (7.1 runs per game, 30 extra-base hits, .966 OPS), Lester would have made my top tier. I'm also wary about his 7.43 ERA over two starts in this matchup this season, but he last faced the Jays on May 22, and has quality starts in all but one of his 11 subsequent outings. For their collective careers, current Jays hitters have combined for a slash line of .223/.278/.377 in 387 plate appearances against Lester. If this is his last start in a Boston Red Sox uniform, expect him to go out with a bang.

Greinke hasn't pitched at home all month, so he'll be pleased to toe the rubber at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves. In two seasons with L.A., he has 17 quality starts in 22 attempts at Chavez Ravine, going 14-3 with a 2.34 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. The right-hander has faced the Braves only three times in his career, posting a solid 3.50 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 9.0 K/9, but three of the four current Atlanta hitters who have seen Greinke at least 10 times have done well, with OF Justin Upton and OF Jordan Schafer both 5-for-11 against him, while C Gerald Laird is batting .300 (6-for-20) in the matchup.

Value Plays (best used in tournaments or on multiple-pitcher sites)

Despite a 2-5 record over his past eight starts, Danny Duffy (26 percent ESPN.com ownership) has been excellent, posting a 1.75 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 7.5 K/9. But the Kansas City Royals have scored two runs or less in six of these eight starts, which is a big reason why Duffy is still available in three-fourths of ESPN.com leagues. On Wednesday, the lefty will face the Minnesota Twins, who not only have the seventh-worst strikeout rate in the majors (21.6 percent), but have no answers for Duffy. Over the past two seasons, Duffy has faced this division rival five times (three starts, two relief appearances), and has a 2-0 record, 1.33 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 22 K's in 20 1/3 innings (9.7 K/9). Current Twins are 10-for-59 (.169) with 16 strikeouts and a .254 slugging percentage versus the young southpaw, and considering how horribly their lineup has performed in 10 games since the All-Star break (2.6 runs per game, .210/.272/.323 slash line, 78 K's, 25 walks), I would recommend Duffy for all fantasy formats on Wednesday.

Another minority-owned left-hander I like on Wednesday is Dallas Keuchel (28 percent ESPN.com ownership) who is taking the hill at Minute Maid Park versus the Oakland Athletics. Keuchel has been filthy in his past four home starts, posting a 1.20 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with quality starts in all four outings. His numbers in six appearances (four starts) versus Oakland are poor (0-2, 5.20 ERA, 1.66 WHIP), but consider that the A's are also much less potent against lefties this season (.244/.318/.401 slash line) than they are versus right-handed pitching (.258/.333/.407 slash line).

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