The image above is a compilation of Florida State’s win probability charts in its 13 pre-bowl games last season and its regular season games from 2014.

Florida State’s chance to win in 2013 (prior to the national title game) never dipped below 50 percent in the second half, and the Seminoles had on average a 92 percent chance to win at halftime.

Here's a look at that from a game-by-game perspective

Overall, Florida State had an average in-game win probability of 84 percent throughout all of plays entering bowl season, the best for any Power 5 team in the last 10 seasons, and led the nation in Game Control by a wide margin.

This season has been a lot different. The Seminoles have rarely been in control of their games (ranking 28th in Game Control) and have had an average in-game win probability of 64 percent (30th in the FBS). The disparity at the half is telling. Florida State has trailed at halftime in four games this season after never trailing at the half of any of its 13 pre-bowl games last year.

Their win probability graph for 2014 looks considerably different than the 2013 version.