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Final Vote overview: Making a case for each candidate

USA TODAY Sports, Getty Images

Is Clayton Kershaw having an All-Star-worthy season?

As it turns out, fans will be answering that question, as the Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher is one of the five Final Vote candidates for final roster spot on the National League All-Star team.

Fans will choose between Kershaw, Reds pitcher Johnny Cueto, Mets pitcher Jeurys Familia, Cardinals pitcher Carlos Martinez and Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki in the National League.

Fans will pick among five position players in the American League: Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts, Tigers outfielder Yoenis Cespedes, Twins second baseman Brian Dozier, Yankees outfielder Brett Gardner and Royals third baseman Mike Moustakas. Voting, which takes place at MLB.com, ends at 4 p.m. ET on Friday.

Let’s look at some of the statistical storylines tied to these votes.

NL Vote: Is Kershaw worthy?

Getting back to the question we posted atop this article, consider this.

Kershaw ranks 14th in Wins Above Replacement among NL pitchers that weren’t selected for the All-Star Game (at least as of 8 p.m. ET on Monday). Martinez (2.5 WAR), Cueto (2.3) and Familia (1.8) all are ahead of Kershaw’s 1.7 pitching WAR. Kershaw doesn’t even rank first among pitchers who fit this criteria on his own team. Fellow southpaw Brett Anderson has 2.0 WAR this season.

Kershaw’s best argument is that he has the lowest FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, which measures a pitcher based on strikeouts, walks and home runs allowed) among the four candidates at 2.55. The only NL pitcher with a better FIP is an All-Star, Max Scherzer.

Martinez’s best argument for earning a vote is his WAR is best of the group. Cueto’s candidacy is shaped by consistency. His season ERA has been under 3.00 after all but one start this season. Familia is 22-of-24 in save chances and has an 0.47 ERA in his past 16 appearances.

For those looking to take Tulowitzki over any of those pitchers, the best argument for that is Tulowitzki’s recent performance. He entered Monday hitting .392 with seven home runs and 26 RBIs in his past 31 games.

AL vote: Is there someone missing?

There is likely to be a lot of talk about a player not among the Final Vote candidates -- Alex Rodriguez -- as there is those among the choices.

But from a statistical perspective, this is a respectable candidate combination. All five of the Final Vote options have higher WAR this season than Rodriguez does (2.2).

In fact, two candidates can make a far bigger case for being snubbed than Rodriguez- Red Sox outfielder Mookie Betts (4.0 WAR) and Kevin Kiermaier (3.6).

In terms of evaluating the Final Vote choices, Gardner (3.1 WAR) and Dozier (3.0) are virtually even by advanced stats, with Cespedes (2.8) and Moustakas a smidge behind them (2.7). Xander Bogaerts (2.4) is also close.

Gardner has nine home runs and 15 stolen bases, making him one of the top power/speed guys in the American League. Dozier is hitting .275 with 14 home runs in his past 52 games, which is be a 40-plus home run pace.

Cespedes is a threat both with his power (10 home runs) and his arm (he has seven defensive runs saved).

Moustakas is arguably the most improved player in the American League, as his OPS, which was .632 last season, stands at .793 entering Monday.

Bogaerts’ best case is his hot streak. He entered Monday hitting .348 with 21 RBIs in his past 33 games. He leads all AL shortstops in WAR, as well.