Just a few weeks ago, it was popular to write off the Pac-12's chances of having a team in the initial College Football Playoff. What was then an overreaction is now just silly.

It's clear Oregon, as the top-ranked one-loss team outside the SEC, controls its own destiny as far as the playoff is concerned. In no way does that guarantee anything, but based on how the Ducks have played since losing at Arizona and what has happened elsewhere in college football, Oregon should feel good about where it is.

The Ducks became the Pac-12's first bowl-eligible team after beating Washington 45-20 on Saturday, but after them the conference remains a jumbled mess. Six others have at least five wins, including five teams in the South Division.

There's no sound way to logically project how this will end up -- too much parity -- but here's our weekly attempt:

College Football Playoff: Oregon

Fiesta Bowl: Arizona

Valero Alamo Bowl: Utah

National University Holiday Bowl: Arizona State

San Francisco Bowl: USC

Hyundai Sun Bowl: UCLA

Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl: Stanford

Cactus Bowl: Washington

Heart of Dallas Bowl*: Cal

* at large