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  This is a law-of-averages pick.
The New York Jets have lost six straight, including four games by one score (eight points or less) -- the most such losses in the NFL, according to ESPN Stats & Information. They have to win a game at some point (don't they?), and this might be their best chance, facing a team they usually dominate at home. They've won five of the last six meetings at home over the Buffalo Bills This will be an ugly, low-scoring game, dominated by two terrific defensive lines. In the end, it'll be decided by a turnover. For a change, it'll be the other quarterback, not Geno Smith, making the big mistake. The concern is whether the Jets, coming off a kick-in-the-gut loss to the New England Patriots, have enough fight left. The sight of the Bills, plus the arrival of Percy Harvin, will stir their emotions for a long-overdue win. Accountability check: My record is 6-1. Prediction: Jets 20, Bills 16
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