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A 5-win team could mathematically win the NFC South

Yes, it is mathematically possible for a 5-win team to make the playoffs this year.

ESPN Stats and Information broke down the possible scenarios. And the most likely would be the Atlanta Falcons (4-6) winning the NFC South at 5-11 or the Carolina Panthers (3-7-1) winning the division with a 5-10-1 mark.

The New Orleans Saints (4-6) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8) could also potentially win the division with just five wins -- but either scenario would require at least one more game to end in a tie somewhere along the way.

The Falcons would win a tie-breaker over any other team at 5-11 based on either head-to-head or division record.

Obviously all four teams are aiming higher than just five wins. But there does appear to be a strong chance that the NFC South champ could make or match history this season. The only other division winner in NFL history with a sub-.500 record was the 7-9 Seattle Seahawks in 2010 (and they went on to beat the 11-5 Saints in the playoffs).

To play around with all of the possible scenarios yourself, check out ESPN.com’s NFL Playoff Machine.