FOXBOROUGH, Mass. -- I view this as a matchup between a careless team (Chicago Bears) and one that protects the ball with good discipline (New England Patriots). The turnover numbers reflect that -- 13 giveaways for the Bears, just five for the Patriots. If the Patriots can protect Tom Brady, I see opportunities for the offense to move the ball and score points much like Miami did last week when Ryan Tannehill completed his first 14 passes of the game. If Tannehill can do that, I think the chances are good that Brady will exceed it.

Prediction: Patriots 34, Bears 28

ACCOUNTABILITY CHECK (what we said last week): Basing a prediction on a weather forecast is always risky business, but I think the heavy projected rainfall evens things up and is a nice break for the Jets. To win in the elements, the running game is critical and I have doubts that the Patriots will be able to get it going against a solid Jets front that has contributed to a No. 6 ranking in average yards per carry allowed (3.5). But in the end, I keep coming back to the one contrast duly noted between the teams on the stat sheet: The Patriots are tied for first in turnover differential (plus-9, 14 takeaways, 5 giveaways), while the Jets are tied for last in the NFL (minus-9, 3 takeaways, 12 giveaways). I expect a close one, with a spirited effort from the Jets, but that discrepancy is just too big to ignore. Patriots 17, Jets 13.