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Big Ten bowl projections: Week 11

Ohio State reclaimed the Big Ten throne Saturday night at Spartan Stadium.

About 69 hours later, the Buckeyes officially occupy the top spot in the Big Ten bowl projections. Ohio State is our pick to win the Big Ten. Will that equate to a spot in the College Football Playoff? Right now we think it will not, but crazy things happen this time of year.

Michigan State moves down to the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl, where it last played after the 2010 season. We think there's a decent chance the Spartans wind up in a New Year's Six game, but they need to finish strong and hope some others falter.

Minnesota moves up to the Music City Bowl after thumping rival Iowa, which tumbles from the Citrus all the way to the Pinstripe Bowl in New York. Iowa still has opportunities to rise as it hosts both Wisconsin and Nebraska to finish the season, but this is an underachieving, unpredictable team right now. We can't slot the Hawkeyes any higher.

The shuffle at the top moves Rutgers out of the Big Ten bowl tie-ins, but we expect the Scarlet Knights to secure an at-large spot. They need one more win and should get it Saturday when they host last-place Indiana.

Penn State and Michigan also both need one win to become bowl eligible, but the Nittany Lions have an easier road (Temple, Illinois, Michigan State) and one more game than the Wolverines (Maryland, Ohio State). For now, Penn State is in and Michigan is out.

Illinois could take a big step toward bowl eligibility -- and securing coach Tim Beckman's future for another year -- by upsetting Iowa on Saturday in Champaign, Illinois. The Fighting Illini have three winnable games left (Iowa, Penn State, Northwestern) but need two, which equals Beckman's Big Ten win total to this point.

Here are this week's projections ...

Chick-fil-A Peach/Goodyear Cotton/VIZIO Fiesta: Ohio State

Citrus: Michigan State

Outback: Wisconsin

National University Holiday: Nebraska

TaxSlayer/Franklin American Mortgage Music City: Minnesota

San Francisco: Maryland

New Era Pinstripe: Iowa

Quick Lane: Penn State

At-large: Rutgers