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Home run history? Planets aligned for Orioles to match monthly mash mark

The O's need three dingers on the last day of June to tie the MLB record for most home runs hit in any month. Getty Images

The Baltimore Orioles have a chance to make home run history Thursday.

Wednesday, they tied the record for most homers in June when Mark Trumbo went deep against the Padres. Trumbo’s league-leading 23rd home run gave the Birds 55 this month, tying the 1996 A’s for the most home runs launched in June.

The bizarre thing is, the O's should have racked up even more homers this month. According to ESPN Stats & Information, batters have been robbed of five round-trippers in June, and four of those batters were Orioles, including J.J. Hardy, who was a victim of this gem Wednesday from Melvin Upton Jr. But seeing as how "almost" only counts in horseshoes, hand grenades and really easy spelling bees where the final word is “almost,” the Orioles are where they are. And where they are is here:

Heading into Thursday's series opener at Seattle, the O’s need three dingers to tie the record for most homers hit in any month. Ironically, the two teams that currently share the record are the (1987) Orioles and (1999) Mariners, the same franchises that will face off Thursday night at Safeco Field. With a quartet of cuadrangulares, the Orioles would have the record all to themselves.

In case you’re wondering, Buck Showalter’s club has clubbed at least four home runs in 10 of 77 games this season, and has done it three times this month in 27 contests. While those aren’t great odds, don’t bet against the Birds’ bats. Not the way they’ve been mashing.

This month, the O’s are hitting a league-best .303 and have scored 182 runs. That’s an average of 6.7 runs per game, and 25 runs more than the next-best team. They’ve hit 11 homers in their last four games and have tied a franchise record by scoring at least 11 runs in each of their last three.

But this story isn’t about runs, it’s about round-trippers. So here are four reasons that the Orioles stand a sporting chance of hitting four homers Thursday night and making major league history:

1. Taijuan Walker: If you’re not familiar with him, he’s the poor schlep who has to face Baltimore’s bombers Thursday night. He’s not very adept at the whole keeping-the-baseball-in-the-park thing. Since the start of the 2015 season, the 23-year-old righty has a 3.8-percent home run rate (in other words, opponents go deep in 3.8 percent of their plate appearances against him). That's the third-highest rate in the American League (minimum 40 starts). But wait, there’s more. Since May 6, Walker is the not-so-proud owner of a 6.6-percent homer rate that’s the highest in the majors (minimum 40 innings). In case you’re wondering, he’s faced the O’s once already this year, back on May 18, and allowed two homers in five innings (Trumbo, Matt Wieters). So there’s that.

2. Seattle’s bullpen: I know what you’re thinking: If Walker’s so crushable, then he probably won’t last very long, which means the Birds won’t be able to take full advantage of him in their history hunt. Not to worry -- the Mariners’ pen has been even more homer-prone. This month, Seattle relievers have a collective 4.4-percent homer rate that’s the second-highest among big league bullpens. They've been especially generous at home, serving up 11 gopher balls in 39⅔ June innings for a 6.2-percent homer rate at home, worst in baseball.

3. The benevolence of June 30: Since 2010, the final day of June has been very kind to the Orioles, who’ve hit a total of 18 homers on their last six June 30s. But wait, it gets weirder: The O’s have hit at least one home run on June 30 in 22 straight years. I’ll wait while you take a moment to recover from having your mind blown. I know ... wacky, right?

4. Away-field advantage: Again, I know what you’re thinking. Namely, that the Orioles play in cozy Camden Yards and there’s a decent chance that during the last six years, a lot of those 18 homers on June 30 came at home. Well, you’re wrong -- it wasn’t just a majority. Truth is, every single one of those 18 jacks was home-cooked, as Baltimore has played at Camden Yards on June 30 in each of the past six seasons. But Thursday night, they’re in Seattle. Well, would you believe me if I told you that Safeco Field was actually a more homer-happy venue than Baltimore’s bandbox? You should, because it’s true. According to ESPN’s park factors, Safeco is the ninth-easiest place to hit a homer, which ranks it two spots ahead of Camden Yards. Who knew?

So what does it all mean? That if ever there were a night where the Orioles were primed for a four-pack o’ jacks, it’s Thursday night. So sit back and enjoy the show.